September 9, 2008
McCain Gaining on Obama in Washington
According to a King5-commissioned poll, Barack Obama's lead in Washington is diminishing. Obama's lead has dropped from double digits in June to only four percentage points in the most recent poll. If the election was held today, 49% of Washingtonians would vote for Barack Obama and 45% would cast their vote for John McCain.
Despite all the tabloid rumors (and truths) about McCain's choice of Sarah Palin for Vice President, the announcement increased voter support in Washington. On the flip side, since Obama announced Joe Biden as his running mate, he's suffered a two-point decrease.
It's not just Obama's camp who is concerned by the numbers in Washington.The changes are also mirrored in our contentious Governor's race. Republican Dino Rossi is gaining ground, while Governor Gregoire is losing it. The Governor's race is so close currently that polls are absolutely no help, except for confirmation it's going to be another doozie. There have been six tracking polls on the race, and each time the results have fallen inside of the poll's margin of sampling error. Despite still being within the margin of error, Dino Rossi did lead in this round of polling—48 percent to Governor Gregoire's 47.
Photo Courtesy of the AP
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I swear to god.... if Obama loses here, I am going to lose my shit.
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abbey, you couldn't find a better photo? that one makes mccain look all cuddly and sweet and fun. makes me want to throw up.
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Really? I read it as a "hooray, the white man is winning AGAIN" pose/photo.
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i look at it like he has little faeries in his fists and they're tickling the crap out of him.
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If he has faeries in his hands, I think he is laughing maniacally as he crushes them
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McCain's momentum is indicative of people getting more and more timid as the election draws closer.
"Change is scary, I'm sticking with the old guy in the suit."
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Come down off the ledge people. It's only a post-convention bounce.
They will weather this storm of approval and emerge as hated as ever.
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Exactly. Dems just love to run scared. Take a breath and know that this state is going to go blue yet again.
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I don't think this story has any hints or running scared or freaking out -- it's pretty basic reporting of the poll numbers.
However, I do think confidence that such and such will go Blue - is the kind of attitude that has had the Dems loosing for the past eight years nationally.
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The Obama campaign needs to ask Hillary to attack Palin, along the lines of:
I know Hillary Clinton, she's an extremely good friend of mind, and Sarah, despite the fact you have a vagina, you're no Hillary.
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It does seem as though the Democratic candidates always peak too early.
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hillary did address a union crowd in new york the other day, telling them "no way, no how, no mccain, no palin." (according to the emails i'm still getting from her campaign.) she's also in FL this week to talk to the oprah-hating palinites, so hopefully that'll make some sort of difference. still, i wish he'd send her to ohio or pennsylvania, or some shit. immediately.
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I guess that the request to come down off the ledge and not run scared was directed more at me than at your post Abbey....
I'd rather run scared at this moment if it energizes people to get the fuck out there and work for Obama and not just assume he's gonna take WA. This is the exact kind of thing that could make us lose this state and this election all of a sudden.
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Has anyone seen a county-by-county breakdown of Washington for 2008?
That might really show how much work has to be done.
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Maybe...but grabbing at one poll like it's holy truth hasn't ever helped anyone. If you look at the polls as a group (not talking about WA in particular), there are polls to show just about anything. It's the overall trend among the polls taken together that seems most representative - realclearpolitics.com has a nice collection of lots of national polls and some state polls. I'd like to compare multiple polls taken at the same time in WA (realclearpolitics doesn't help me here - they only have polls over the last few months, not simultaneously obtained polls) to actually figure out what to believe. One poll does NOT always represent the reality!
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I'm putting my money on McCain, he has the momentum and the media LOVES Palin.
Look at Google News today. It's a fricking Palin love fest meanwhile, Joe Biden is practically forgotten.