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Towards a Denser Seattle

mini-mini-Downtown_Seattle-1.jpgYesterday Eric de Place held forth over pollution and urban design on the Cascadia Scorecard site. Examination of a 2000 Larry Frank study of Puget Sound vehicle emissions per household (which he doesn't link to and we can't find - C'mon Eric, it's the web) leads him in this direction:

It turns out that the strongest land-use correlate to low household emissions is not residential density, but job-site employment density. That is, from a statistical standpoint, it matters less whether you live on Capital Hill or the Sammamish Plateau than whether you work in downtown Seattle or Bothell. The difference, I suppose, is that downtown Seattle and other places with high employment density are well-served by transit and are generally easier to get to with lower vehicle emissions than more far-flung workplaces.

What de Place doesn't do, however, is finish drawing the line to yesterday's Seattle Times article on the mayor's designs on downtown, which basically trumpets the Vancouverization of Seattle. According to this study and Cascadia Scorecard's interpretation of it, density is most beneficial from a pollution standpoint when it applies to commercial space, and residential density (which is big in Vancouver) has less of an impact.

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  • Eric de Place

    Since you asked, here's a link to an abstract of the study -- http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1361-9209(99)00032-2. As far as I know, the full version isn't online and the abstract doesn't contain the findings I was most interested in.





    Also, it's important to keep in mind that residential density has a number of environmental and pollution-related benefits that are beyond the scope of the Frank study. That study focuses only on vehicle emissions not on, say, water quality (which is affected by both impervious surface and the amount of driving) or, say, air pollution from powerplants such as the Centralia coal plant. Higher residential density usually results in lower overall energy consumption per person.

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